VCS Methods |
Corresponding author: Jürgen Dengler ( dr.juergen.dengler@gmail.com ) Academic editor: David W. Roberts
© 2023 Jürgen Dengler, Iwona Dembicz.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Citation:
Dengler J, Dembicz I (2023) Should we estimate plant cover in percent or on ordinal scales? Vegetation Classification and Survey 4: 131-138. https://doi.org/10.3897/VCS.98379
|
Question: We explored the error resulting from different methods for recording the cover of plants in vegetation plots, specifically the direct estimation of percent cover vs. the use of ordinal cover scales (7-step Braun-Blanquet and 5-step Hult-Sernander-Du Rietz). Methods: We simulated 121 plant species of different cover, sampled with 13 different levels of estimation precision. Estimation precision was either based on a constant coefficient of variation (0.1–1.0) across all cover values or on empirical data from
Abbreviations: Br.-Bl. = 7-step variant of the Braun-Blanquet scale and its numerical replacement as in Table
Braun-Blanquet scale, estimation, Hult-Sernander-Du Rietz scale, numerical analysis, observer error, ordinal scale, percent estimate, plant cover, simulation, species abundance, transformation, vegetation-plot record
Plant cover assessment is a central methodological step in vegetation ecology, phytosociology and habitat monitoring. While there are many other methods for estimating species importance in plant communities, such as frequency analysis, line-intercept analysis, estimation of basal area or harvest of biomass (
Most of the ordinal scales of plant importance were proposed long before the advent of numerical methods in plant community ecology. They were mainly introduced to provide an efficient tool for the standardised description of plant communities (relevés) which could then be used for different purposes, such as vegetation classification by manual table sorting (
While many vegetation ecologists seem to apply an ordinal scale out of respect for tradition, others argue that the estimation of Braun-Blanquet categories is less “error-prone” or better “reproducible” than the direct estimation of percent cover of each species. We were interested in whether the latter argument is true, and thus applied a simulation study to quantify the effects of the double-transformation when using an ordinal cover scale vs. the direct estimation of percent cover.
Four typical ordinal scales used to estimate the importance of plant species in plant communities with their definitions and their proposed back-transformation into percent cover. We compare the original 6-step
Scale | Category | Min. cover % | Max. cover % | Abundance | Replacement in % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6-step Braun-Blanquet scale1 | + | >0% | 1% | (or few individuals) | 0.1% |
( |
1 | >1% | 10% | (or abundant) | 5% |
2 | >10% | 25% | (or very abundant) | 17.5% | |
3 | >25% | 50% | NA | 37.5% | |
4 | >50% | 75% | NA | 62.5% | |
5 | >75% | 100% | NA | 87.5% | |
7-step version of the Braun-Blanquet scale2 | r | NA | NA | NA | 1.0% |
(as in TURBOVEG) | + | NA | NA | NA | 2.0% |
1 | NA | NA | NA | 3.0% | |
2 | NA | NA | NA | 13.0% | |
3 | NA | NA | NA | 38.0% | |
4 | NA | NA | NA | 68.0% | |
5 | NA | NA | NA | 88.0% | |
9-step version of the Braun-Blanquet scale | r | >0% | 5% | 1–3 individuals | NA |
( |
+ | >0% | 5% | few individuals | 1% |
1 | >0% | 5% | abundant | 2.25% | |
2m | >0% | 5% | very abundant | 4% | |
2a | >5% | 12.5% | NA | 8.75% | |
2b | >12.5% | 25% | NA | 18.75% | |
3 | >25% | 50% | NA | 37.5% | |
4 | >50% | 75% | NA | 62.5% | |
5 | >75% | 100% | NA | 87.5% | |
Hult-Sernander-Du Rietz scale | 1 | >0% | 6.25% | NA | 3.125% |
( |
2 | >6.25% | 12.5% | NA | 9.375% |
3 | >12.5% | 25% | NA | 18.75% | |
4 | >25% | 50% | NA | 37.5% | |
5 | >50% | 100% | NA | 75% |
We set up a simulation experiment in which 10 virtual observers with identical skills made independent estimates of the cover of plant species using direct percent cover values and two widespread ordinal scales, namely a purely cover-based 7-step variant of the Braun-Blanquet scale (Table
Our basic assumption was that any cover estimate by an observer necessarily comes with an error, i.e. over- or underestimation of the true cover. Since the precision of estimates is unknown and varies depending on the skills of the observer, the complexity of the vegetation, the plot size and other factors, we simulated 13 settings with different levels of estimation accuracy and its relationship to cover. For that we used two approaches: (i) “Constant CV”: We assumed that the mean estimation error is proportional to the true cover and implemented this by ten different levels of CV (coefficient of variation), ranging from 0.1 to 1 in increments of 0.1. (ii) “Hatton”: We took the empirical data from
To simulate the perception of 10 equally skilled observers, we always drew a random number from a normal distribution with the true value as mean and a standard deviation equalling CV × true value. If the random number was smaller than 0 or larger than 100, we replaced it with 0.0001 or 100, respectively. With these settings, the relative estimation errors in the case of “constant CV” slightly decreased towards the largest plot sizes (because then the random draws above 100% were set to 100%), but strongly in the case of “Hatton”. Likewise, the absolute errors largely peaked around 70% for “constant CV” (not shown) and around 55% (
Individual percent cover estimates were taken as they were, while in the case of ordinal scales, we first assigned them to the proper category according to Tables
Visualisation of the different steps involved in observing a real plant in a vegetation plot and using its estimated cover in a wide range of numerical analyses. In both cases, the same estimation error of the observer is involved (in the case depicted, the botanist estimates 10% while the plants of this species only have 5% cover). In the case of direct percent estimation (blue path), this estimation error is the only source of error prior to statistical analysis, but when using an ordinal scale (red path), there are two additional transformation steps involved, each of which adds to the overall error.
In nearly all cases, we found that the errors in the final numbers (those normally used for numerical analyses) were higher in the case of the two ordinal scales compared to direct cover estimates in percent (Table
Example violin plots for the estimation errors in the final data comparing direct percent estimation and two purely cover-based ordinal scales (7-step Braun-Blanquet scale = “Br.-Bl.”, 5-step Hult-Sernander-Du Rietz scale = “H.-S.”). The example refers to the setting that we consider most realistic and relevant, i.e. estimation errors based on the empirical data from
Example of results of the simulation for different levels of estimation error in the field, either with varying CV (coefficient of variation) or based on the empirical data by
Setting (estimation precision) | Covers considered | Mean relative error with percent | Mean relative error with Br.-Bl. | Mean absolute error with percent | Mean absolute error with Br.-Bl. | Inflation relative error with Br.-Bl. | Inflation absolute error with Br.-Bl. |
CV = 0.1 | All | 7.8% | 901.5% | 0.685 | 1.876 | 114.9 | 2.7 |
> 0.01% | 7.9% | 122.3% | 0.864 | 2.339 | 15.5 | 2.7 | |
> 0.1% | 8.0% | 66.2% | 1.151 | 3.096 | 8.3 | 2.7 | |
> 1% | 7.8% | 48.1% | 1.710 | 4.511 | 6.1 | 2.6 | |
>10% | 8.3% | 19.5% | 3.147 | 5.968 | 2.3 | 1.9 | |
CV = 0.3 | All | 23.5% | 905.4% | 1.771 | 2.489 | 38.5 | 1.4 |
> 0.01% | 23.1% | 127.1% | 2.232 | 3.112 | 5.5 | 1.4 | |
> 0.1% | 22.6% | 69.2% | 2.973 | 4.124 | 3.1 | 1.4 | |
> 1% | 22.8% | 51.4% | 4.416 | 6.036 | 2.3 | 1.4 | |
>10% | 21.9% | 26.6% | 7.933 | 9.065 | 1.2 | 1.1 | |
CV = 0.5 | All | 39.0% | 916.2% | 3.026 | 3.467 | 23.5 | 1.1 |
> 0.01% | 38.7% | 140.7% | 3.814 | 4.345 | 3.6 | 1.1 | |
> 0.1% | 37.6% | 77.9% | 5.079 | 5.760 | 2.1 | 1.1 | |
> 1% | 37.9% | 67.8% | 7.544 | 8.494 | 1.8 | 1.1 | |
>10% | 38.4% | 38.2% | 13.624 | 13.152 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |
CV = 1.0 | All | 72.5% | 932.1% | 4.751 | 4.842 | 12.9 | 1.0 |
> 0.01% | 70.6% | 160.8% | 5.988 | 6.078 | 2.3 | 1.0 | |
> 0.1% | 69.9% | 96.3% | 7.974 | 8.068 | 1.4 | 1.0 | |
> 1% | 69.0% | 87.6% | 11.818 | 11.884 | 1.3 | 1.0 | |
>10% | 60.7% | 56.9% | 20.718 | 19.350 | 0.9 | 0.9 | |
Hatton × 0.5 | All | 273.5% | 1222.0% | 0.631 | 1.922 | 4.5 | 3.0 |
> 0.01% | 88.8% | 216.6% | 0.788 | 2.387 | 2.4 | 3.0 | |
> 0.1% | 41.3% | 80.0% | 1.024 | 3.123 | 1.9 | 3.0 | |
> 1% | 16.9% | 50.0% | 1.387 | 4.410 | 3.0 | 3.2 | |
>10% | 6.9% | 18.3% | 1.967 | 5.475 | 2.7 | 2.8 | |
Hatton × 1 | All | 537.3% | 1720.4% | 1.273 | 2.234 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
> 0.01% | 155.7% | 291.3% | 1.588 | 2.765 | 1.9 | 1.7 | |
> 0.1% | 70.5% | 109.3% | 2.071 | 3.610 | 1.6 | 1.7 | |
> 1% | 32.3% | 60.2% | 2.872 | 5.086 | 1.9 | 1.8 | |
>10% | 13.0% | 20.9% | 4.084 | 6.430 | 1.6 | 1.6 | |
Hatton × 1.5 | All | 812.5% | 1925.2% | 1.773 | 2.622 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
> 0.01% | 237.3% | 360.0% | 2.216 | 3.251 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
> 0.1% | 103.0% | 160.0% | 2.886 | 4.239 | 1.6 | 1.5 | |
> 1% | 43.0% | 71.7% | 3.993 | 5.853 | 1.7 | 1.5 | |
>10% | 19.4% | 23.5% | 5.824 | 7.451 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
We found that the use of ordinal scales instead of direct estimation and recording of percent cover introduces an additional, biologically relevant error to the data in nearly all cases. We conducted our simulation using two widespread ordinal scales and obtained largely consistent results. We also repeated the analyses for 13 different settings based both on empirical data and simple simulation data, which were meant to reflect different levels of experience of the surveyors and different degrees of vegetation complexity. The high consistency of the results for all combinations of settings underlines the generality of our findings. This was to be expected, since the error mathematically results from the information loss due to the two additional translation steps involved, each of which on average must increase the estimation error (Figure
Therefore, one might ask why so many researchers are attached to the Braun-Blanquet scale or other ordinal scales. Since we ourselves made thousands of relevés with the Braun-Blanquet scale before we changed our approach, and since we have discussed this issue with many colleagues, we see three main reasons. (1) Many researchers may continue to use this method because they learned it as such and never questioned the wisdom of this methodological choice. By contrast, we believe that a scientific discipline can only then remain vital when its representatives ask themselves from time to time whether the methodological choices that made sense in the past are still adequate. (2) Other colleagues argue that one makes a smaller estimation error when using an ordinal scale than when directly recording cover values in percent. This seems to be a misconception about error size. When the real cover for example is 26%, and one person notes 25% and another 27%, their values on paper are different, but their estimates in fact are highly consistent with reality and among each other. If in the same case two researchers note “3” on the Braun-Blanquet scale, these estimates seem to be consistent, but they are far from the reality, as the back-transformation of “3” is typically 38%.
We can report from our own experience that the shift from estimating Braun-Blanquet categories to percent cover values required only a short adjustment period and did not result in a loss in speed, i.e. we now complete approximately the same number of relevés per day with percent cover than we did before with different variants of the Braun-Blanquet scale. Indeed, when students are taught how to perform relevés for the first time, many of them say that estimation in percent is faster, because if they are asked to note Braun-Blanquet categories they first estimate percent cover before translating it to the ordinal system. However, the actual speed needed for doing the same relevé with percent and an ordinal scale will vary between individuals and depend on their prior training. While it would be desirable to test this experimentally in a future study, this would be methodologically quite challenging, since it is hard to separate the scale from the assessment precision. Many persons might be tempted to do the assessment less carefully when asked to do it with an ordinal scale than with percent estimates. By contrast, we based our simulation on the assumption that the observer worked with the same estimation error in both cases. This means that, in practice, using an ordinal scale might indeed be slightly faster for some vegetation scientists, but at the price of an even higher error inflation rate than reported here.
Last but not least, one should highlight that our simulation was carried out for a purely cover-based variant of the Braun-Blanquet scale (Table
Except a minority of rather unrealistic settings, we found that using ordinal scales for the cover estimation of plants introduces a relevant additional error to the data. Under the setting that can be assumed to be closest to reality (the row marked green in Table
While the negative effects of the additional errors introduced by ordinal scales have not been extensively quantified for the wide range of methods typically applied to vegetation data, one could argue that one should avoid any unnecessary error, if this comes at no cost (see our arguments above). Based on our findings, we recommend that vegetation ecologists abandon the use of ordinal importance scales of plants in vegetation plots. While this method made sense in a pre-computer era, it has severe disadvantages in an age where nearly all relevant analyses require back-transformation to a numeric scale (see also
The study was based on simulated data, which are provided in aggregated form in an online appendix and can be requested from the authors.
J.D. conceived the idea of this study. Both authors jointly conducted the analyses and wrote the manuscript, while I.D. prepared the conceptual figure.
We thank Hallie Seiler for linguistic editing and David W. Roberts, Francois Gillet and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments on earlier versions of this manuscript.
Comprehensive results of the simulation for different levels of estimation error in the field, based either on constant levels of CV (coefficient of variation) or on the empirical data by